📊 1. Overview of Valuation Methods

Valuation is the process of determining the current worth of a business or asset using various methods based on cash flows, market data, or past transactions.

🔹 Common Valuation Approaches:

Category Methods Description
Intrinsic Valuation Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Value based on future cash flows and time value of money
Relative Valuation Comparable Company Analysis Value based on market multiples of similar companies
Transaction-Based Precedent Transactions Value based on prices paid in past similar deals

Each method has strengths and weaknesses, and often analysts use multiple methods to triangulate a value.


📉 2. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

🔹 What It Is:

DCF values a company by projecting its future free cash flows and discounting them back to present value using a discount rate (typically WACC).

🔹 Key Steps:

  1. Project Free Cash Flows (usually 5–10 years)

  2. Estimate Terminal Value

    • Perpetuity growth model:

      TV=FCFn+1r−gtext{TV} = frac{text{FCF}_{n+1}}{r – g}

    • Exit multiple (e.g., EBITDA × terminal multiple)

  3. Discount to Present Value using:

    NPV=∑FCFt(1+r)t+TV(1+r)ntext{NPV} = sum frac{text{FCF}_t}{(1 + r)^t} + frac{text{TV}}{(1 + r)^n}

  4. Calculate Enterprise Value (EV)

🔹 Pros and Cons:

Pros Cons
Reflects company-specific fundamentals Sensitive to assumptions (growth, WACC)
Useful for long-term analysis Difficult to use for volatile or early-stage firms

📊 3. Comparable Company Analysis (Comps)

🔹 What It Is:

Valuation based on market multiples (e.g., EV/EBITDA, P/E) of public companies in the same industry.

🔹 Key Steps:

  1. Select a group of comparable companies (similar size, sector, growth).

  2. Gather market data:

    • Stock price, market cap, net debt → EV

    • Revenue, EBITDA, EPS, etc.

  3. Calculate multiples for each (e.g., EV/EBITDA, P/E).

  4. Apply median or average multiple to the target’s metrics.

🔹 Example:

If peers trade at 10× EBITDA and your company’s EBITDA is $5M, then:

Enterprise Value=10×5=50Mtext{Enterprise Value} = 10 times 5 = 50M

🔹 Pros and Cons:

Pros Cons
Market-driven, quick to perform Hard to find perfect comparables
Useful for benchmarking May not reflect unique characteristics

🤝 4. Precedent Transactions (Deal Comps)

🔹 What It Is:

Valuation based on prices paid in past M&A deals for similar companies.

🔹 Key Steps:

  1. Identify past transactions in the same industry.

  2. Collect data:

    • Transaction value, target’s EBITDA, revenue, etc.

  3. Calculate deal multiples (e.g., EV/EBITDA).

  4. Apply average/multiple to the target’s financials.

🔹 Example:

If similar deals closed at 12× EBITDA, and your company has $4M EBITDA, then:

Enterprise Value=12×4=48Mtext{Enterprise Value} = 12 times 4 = 48M

🔹 Pros and Cons:

Pros Cons
Reflects real market prices Market conditions may vary
Good for acquisition scenarios Hard to find recent, truly comparable deals

🧠 5. Choosing the Right Valuation Method

Context/Company Type Best Fit Valuation Method
Established, cash-flow positive DCF, Comps, Deal Comps (triangulation)
Early-stage/startup Comps (DCF is hard due to uncertain cash flows)
Acquisition or exit planning Deal Comps + DCF
Market-based benchmarking Comparable Company Analysis
Long-term intrinsic value focus DCF

🔹 Analyst Best Practice:

Use multiple methods to arrive at a valuation range rather than a single figure. This improves credibility and allows for triangulation.


✅ Summary Table

Method Data Source Use Case
DCF Company’s own forecasts Fundamental valuation, intrinsic value
Comps Public company data Benchmarking, market positioning
Deal Comps Historical M&A deals

Acquisition pricing, exit valuation